DAILY RESEARCH
As of 09 Sep 10
WEEKLY RESEARCH

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ASII - Anticipating the rise of BI rate

02 Sep 10

Astra Internasional (ASII) – Maintain HOLD
Price: Rp49,400 – Target Price: Rp45,000

Anticipating the rise of BI rate
•    Strong positive correlation between Auto sales and GDP 
•    ASII continues to book result, even by assuming conservative GDP
•    Car and motorcycle sales recorded highest level in July’10
•    We found that ASII share price is negatively correlated to BI rate by 78%
•    Maintain Hold, TP of Rp45,000 reflects PE’10-11E 14.9-12.9x


ASII_100902_jp.pdf

WIKA - Operational Came Below Expectation (Downgrade to HOLD, TP Rp550/share)

31 Aug 10

Wijaya Karya (WIKA) – Downgrade to Hold
Price: Rp590 – Target Price: Rp550

Operational Came Below Expectation

•    Revenue fell by 15% YoY to Rp2.52tn.
•    Bottom line grew by 51% YoY to Rp141bn.
•    1H10 operational result came below expectation .
•    Lower revenue due to slower than expected government’s infrastructure budget disbursement.
•    Has rallied for 93.6% over the past 3 month, outperforming its sector indices and peers by 80% and 40%.
•    Trading at ‘10F PER of 13.4x, WIKA looks expensive. Downgrade to HOLD.



PTBA - Signed HoA with India's Adani (Maintain BUY, TP Rp20,200/share)

31 Aug 10

TB Bukit Asam (PTBA) – Maintain BUY
Price: Rp17,850 – Target Price: Rp20,200

Signed HoA With India’s Adani Group

•    Signed HoA with Adani to build a 270 km railway project with total capacity 35 mn ton pa.
•    PTBA can secure coal sales in future.
•    Dual railway project from BATR and Adani will provide additional capacity of 60 mn ton in 2018, or 39.5% CAGR between 2013-2018.
•    The railway project will benefit PTBA in realizing its long term growth.
•    The stock is currently trades at 11.2x PER’11 with lowest EV/reserve of US$2.0/ton.
•    Maintain BUY, price target Rp20,200/share
 


PTBA_100927_cs.pdf